Methodology

Each row is one public call: an investor’s own words about one instrument, quoted verbatim from the linked post. We never paraphrase.

Every call gets a directional score from −20 to +20 (−20, −10, −5, 0, +5, +10, +20). Positive means bullish on the instrument, negative means bearish, and magnitude reflects conviction. 0 means mixed, or an exit from a position.

Blended score

Each ticker shows a blended score: the plain, unweighted average (mean) over the distinct investors who have called it. Each investor counts once, using their latest call on that instrument (by post date; if two are on the same date, the later one recorded). n is the number of distinct investors.

Earlier calls from the same investor do not count toward the blend but stay visible as call history, marked “earlier call”. There is no weighting by investor, conviction or track record. Calls by Jim Cramer are excluded, and each post counts once per instrument.

By default the home page shows only tickers with at least two distinct investors, both in the blend table and in the calls list. Use “Show all tickers” (or ?all=1) to include single-investor tickers; their ticker pages are always available.

The blend is a summary, not a forecast of its own. With a small n one call can move it a lot, so read it alongside the individual calls.

For T30Y, scores are averaged in yield direction exactly as scored (see note ¹), so a positive blend means the calls lean toward higher yields.

¹ T30Y is the US 30-year Treasury yield. A positive score on T30Y means yields go up, which is bearish for bond prices.