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Dan Niles
@DanielTNiles · 7 calls
Fund manager
Founder and portfolio manager of Niles Investment Management. He has managed hedge-fund portfolios since 2004, following a career in equity research covering technology, computer hardware and semiconductors.
Individual calls
| Date | Contributor | Instrument | Claim (verbatim) | Horizon | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | MSFT/GOOGL/AMZN | “@CongConsensus To your point, there are already signs of this. The three big public cloud vendors of $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN with strong balance sheets that do not have the same external financing pressures are +15.6% from the 7/29 Situational Awareness closing low. Meanwhile the neo-clouds of” | — | +10 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | KBWB | “$KBWB (bank ETF) -12.4% from 8/14 through yesterday while S&P +0.3%. Expectations were low. But despite mixed results, $JPM -0.9%; $WFC -3.1%; $C -5.6%; $GS -0.2% all fell today w/ KBWB -1.4%. I remain circumspect into Q3 earnings given the poor start from this important sector.” | — | -5 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-09-13 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | S&P 500 | “Last wk, oil +9% & ylds +11-26 bps across 2/30 curve w/ S&P/Nas/R2K -0.3%/-0.7%/-2.4%. This wk, I am watching reaction to 1) oil/rates, 2) calls to slow down AI development & 3) Fed on 9/16. I remain on the cautious side till US mid-terms on 11/3. This weekend, the CEO of” | till US mid-terms on 11/3 | -5 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-31 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | Stock market | “@Diko_Tahil Thank you. I try to be a pragmatic bull. In the long run with roughly 2-3% population growth per year, 2-3% productivity growth per year and 2-3% inflation per year it is hard not have the stock market up high single digits per year over time. But the short-term swings can be” | long run | +5 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-05-26 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | S&P 500 | “@MaxgustavM23081 Barring some other macro shock, which is not my base case, my belief is this 9% drawdown was the largest we will see in 2026. EPS growth is expected to accelerate from about 12% y/y in Q4 of last year and 13% in Q1 for the S&P to ~30% by Q3. Smaller ~5% pullbacks occur roughly” | 2026 | +10 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-04-14 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | INTC | “I wrote on $INTC on March 29th as a new idea based on Agentic AI requiring more server microprocessors per gigawatt versus chat-based AI. Though the stock is up over 50% already since then, I think there is more upside over the course of the year in Intel based on new advanced” | over the course of the year | +10 | Tweet ↗ |
| 2026-03-04 | Dan Niles @DanielTNiles Fund manager | Software | “@son_of_IJ You are so right about that being confusing. I fixed it. Thank you. I think we have not seen THE bottom in software yet but will get a ferocious rally in the near-term with the S&P rallies during the Tech Bubble meltdown being the example.” | near-term | 0 | Tweet ↗ |